Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.184306 0.214152 0.247344 0.287007 0.333135 0.385121 0.448198
2025-03-16 0.136148 0.175441 0.223876 0.288035 0.370920 0.474569 0.614338
2025-03-23 0.112347 0.155408 0.212368 0.293364 0.405862 0.557025 0.776350
2025-03-30 0.092935 0.136161 0.196708 0.287917 0.422298 0.613770 0.908726
2025-04-06 0.079410 0.122265 0.185336 0.285213 0.440088 0.672282 1.049100
2025-04-13 0.069768 0.112290 0.177698 0.286011 0.461850 0.737792 1.207086
2025-04-20 0.064558 0.108218 0.178157 0.298831 0.503182 0.837650 1.431610
2025-04-27 0.059663 0.103840 0.177309 0.308988 0.540859 0.935464 1.664920
2025-05-04 0.055186 0.099472 0.175746 0.317399 0.576123 1.032808 1.909415
2025-05-11 0.050387 0.093855 0.171214 0.319756 0.600546 1.113496 2.133636
2025-05-18 0.045523 0.087461 0.164439 0.316982 0.614847 1.176947 2.332998
2025-05-25 0.040460 0.080038 0.154840 0.307553 0.615057 1.213479 2.484055
2025-06-01 0.038072 0.077591 0.154536 0.316475 0.652944 1.328639 2.810779
2025-06-08 0.035046 0.073506 0.150571 0.317597 0.675321 1.415882 3.092382
2025-06-15 0.032845 0.070822 0.149054 0.323482 0.708157 1.528250 3.442325
2025-06-22 0.029786 0.065932 0.142376 0.317466 0.714499 1.584919 3.676367
2025-06-29 0.027331 0.062055 0.137384 0.314481 0.727056 1.656425 3.953501
2025-07-06 0.025439 0.059206 0.134292 0.315363 0.748441 1.750146 4.295231
2025-07-13 0.024691 0.058887 0.136811 0.329519 0.802607 1.925943 4.859278
2025-07-20 0.023772 0.058051 0.138040 0.340734 0.851074 2.094084 5.427334
2025-07-27 0.022785 0.056932 0.138464 0.350022 0.895924 2.258851 6.009444
2025-08-03 0.021470 0.054846 0.136324 0.352625 0.924159 2.385584 6.509080
2025-08-10 0.019953 0.052070 0.132170 0.349562 0.937300 2.475310 6.921299